The calendar post-Super Tuesday highly favors Biden

[GeneralMacArthur]

I don't think MI goes for Biden.  But I do think he is leading the delegate count at the end of March.

ACELA should be the death blow for the Sanders campaign in a clean Biden victory scenario.  The problem is that, like Hillary, Biden has to endure a month of losses in small states that will be blown up in significance by the media out of sheer boredom.  In a rational world nobody would care that Sanders won Wyoming, but because it's the only primary to write about, we'll get an entire news cycle about how Biden can't keep it up.

Clinton managed to pull through and smash Sanders to pieces on ACELA.  But she ran a much better primary campaign than Biden.  Can he do the same?

Biden also needs to win Ohio and Illinois.  He should already be looking forward to them.  Let Sanders have AZ, it's much too far away from OH/IL to go campaign there.

[GeneralMacArthur]

MC has Biden only down 3 and that's with Buttigieg still in the race.

If CNN is to be believed, a Buttigieg endorsement of Biden is coming sooner rather than later.  Probably before Ohio and Illinois, both neighboring states of Indiana.  That might be enough to move his 10 points to something like 6 Biden 2 Warren 2 Sanders, which would close the gap.  This is also ignoring the imminent Klobuchar dropout, and the fact that Bloomberg voters will go to Biden rather than Sanders.