PA-Mason Dixon: Good news for J.J. & Co.

[Ronnie]

Alas this poll indicates we will have Pennsylvania to thank for president McCain.

It's not like McCain is ahead in this poll.

[Ronnie]

Alas this poll indicates we will have Pennsylvania to thank for president McCain.

It's not like McCain is ahead in this poll.

He is if you adjust for the Bradley Effect.. or if you take into account the trend (we're several days away from the actual election).

Opebo, the Bradley effect isn't proven to exist.  Obama has a pretty solid base, and there would have to be a large, inexplicable backlash for Obama to lose.

That said, undecideds will probably break something like 56-44 for McCain, but it isn't enough to carry the state.

[Ronnie]

Alas this poll indicates we will have Pennsylvania to thank for president McCain.

It's not like McCain is ahead in this poll.

He is if you adjust for the Bradley Effect.. or if you take into account the trend (we're several days away from the actual election).

Opebo, the Bradley effect isn't proven to exist.  Obama has a pretty solid base, and there would have to be a large, inexplicable backlash for Obama to lose.

That said, undecideds will probably break something like 56-44 for McCain, but it isn't enough to carry the state.

Oh please, 56/44? More like 70/30, at least.  And the large backlash is very explicable - Obama is a black, you see.

Don't forget, many of the undecided are blacks.

[Ronnie]

In other words, the undecided electorate is about 79% white, 11% latino, 10% black.

Ok, so undecideds will break about 8 to 2 for McCain.

You think that undecided whites will break 100% for McCain?  What kind of unproven demagoguery are you spewing?