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Author Topic: Pennsylvania  (Read 4529 times)
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« on: September 07, 2008, 04:28:23 PM »

Philadelphia alone will put Obama over the top in Pennsylvania. Pennslyvania and Michigan will be locked up for Obama after the debates, shifting a lot of attention towards Ohio, Missouri and Florida.

What makes you think that Obama will win the debates so handily?
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2008, 04:42:20 PM »

Philadelphia alone will put Obama over the top in Pennsylvania. Pennslyvania and Michigan will be locked up for Obama after the debates, shifting a lot of attention towards Ohio, Missouri and Florida.

What makes you think that Obama will win the debates so handily?

It's going to be JFK Vs. Nixon all over again. It doesn't matter who wins on substance because Obama will kill McCain on style. McCain will look and sound like the old, outdated candidate he is. On top of that, Obama will probably have some great new material that may end up dumbfounding McCain like Bush was dumbfounded in his first debate with Kerry. If that happens, watch out - the election will swing dramatically in Obama's favor.

Ultimately, this election is about change. It's what the vast majority of the electorate is looking for. I predict they are not going to think a 72-year-old man is the choice for agent, the agent of change, after seeing him up on that stage debating Obama. As a result, I think Obama will pretty much have the "blue/bluish purple" states all locked up after the debates. That means McCain will be left scrambling, trying to defend states like Missouri, Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico. My bet is on Obama winning at least a few of these states, and therefore the election.

I don't remember Obama beating Hillary so much on style in the debates.  Don't forget, Obama tends to studder A LOT in debates.

Frankly, neither Obama nor McCain are that great in debating, and I don't think that one would completely massacre the other one like Reagan vs. Carter.
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Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2008, 05:01:44 PM »

Philadelphia alone will put Obama over the top in Pennsylvania. Pennslyvania and Michigan will be locked up for Obama after the debates, shifting a lot of attention towards Ohio, Missouri and Florida.

What makes you think that Obama will win the debates so handily?

It's going to be JFK Vs. Nixon all over again. It doesn't matter who wins on substance because Obama will kill McCain on style. McCain will look and sound like the old, outdated candidate he is. On top of that, Obama will probably have some great new material that may end up dumbfounding McCain like Bush was dumbfounded in his first debate with Kerry. If that happens, watch out - the election will swing dramatically in Obama's favor.

Ultimately, this election is about change. It's what the vast majority of the electorate is looking for. I predict they are not going to think a 72-year-old man is the choice for agent, the agent of change, after seeing him up on that stage debating Obama. As a result, I think Obama will pretty much have the "blue/bluish purple" states all locked up after the debates. That means McCain will be left scrambling, trying to defend states like Missouri, Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico. My bet is on Obama winning at least a few of these states, and therefore the election.

I don't remember that Obama beat Hillary so much on style in the debates.  Don't forget, Obama tends to studder A LOT in debates.

Frankly, neither Obama nor McCain are that great in debating, and I don't think that one would completely massacre the other one like Reagan vs. Carter.

Short of McCain blowing a gasket or being completely befuddled a la Bush 2004, neither one will completely massacre the other one like Reagan Vs. Carter. With that said, we will have a Clinton Vs. Dole scenario. McCain is going to look old and tired up against the youthful Obama just like Dole looked old and tired up against Clinton in '96.

Let's face it: 72-year-old men should be basking in retirement in Florida, not running for president. People are going to clearly see that this guy is too old when he's up on a stage failing to keep up with the youthful Obama, the fresh candidate of change.

People look at things other than age.  They look at policies and their character as well.  McCain will be just as prepared as Obama, and I think it will be just another boring old debate.  Obama, not for one moment, looked young and fresh compared to Hillary in the debates, and that is simply because he can read from a teleprompter miles better than bringing something up on the spot.  He studders, looks unconfident, says "uh" a billion times in a sentence while debating.
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