Well, I absolutely did not think he was going to win the primaries when he announced last summer, so I guess I'll just step back and wait to see what happens. It honestly wouldn't surprise me if he surged after the convention and polls tightened.
I actually think the gap between Trump and Clinton will increase after the convention and in the months leading up to November. Trump's horrific numbers among minorities are pretty much baked in at this point, while many people who are currently reluctant to support Clinton in polls because they consider her untrustworthy for whatever reason will come to their senses when confronted with the prospect of a Trump presidency.
