How we can know if Trump has a low ceiling or not (user search)
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  How we can know if Trump has a low ceiling or not (search mode)
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Author Topic: How we can know if Trump has a low ceiling or not  (Read 500 times)
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,993
United States
« on: February 23, 2016, 01:09:06 AM »
« edited: February 23, 2016, 01:11:47 AM by Ronnie »

Are you saying it would be worrying for his campaign in the GE or the rest of the nominating process?

As far as I can tell, Trump does have a fairly low national ceiling in a 3-way race between him, Rubio, and Cruz, but it's still unclear whether that actually matters.  In a circumstance in which he would consistently hover around 39%, and Rubio and Cruz would be stuck in the low 30s/high 20s, Trump would still do well enough to win in most states, as far as I can tell.  I'm pretty sure the dynamic changes if Cruz drops out, though; Trump's ceiling would probably increase significantly.
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