Both Senate Democrat candidates will overperform Biden, but 5-7 points is much more doable than 15+, I don't care how much "incumbency" and "brand" you have.
One thing that has to be taken into account is that MT could also shift left presidentially. That would mean Tester has to make up less.
The Democrats should be getting Montana to trend toward them.
The state should be right around the party’s No. 30 best state in U.S. presidential elections.
Based on Election 2020 outcome, following 25 carried states, here is what should be targets for the Democrats:
26. North Carolina
27. Texas
28. Alaska
29. South Carolina
30. Montana
This is with observing a trend away from the Democrats with states which realigned Republican—Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and non-state
Maine’s 2nd Congressional Distict—with replacements for where states rank.
Poll
