The number of swing states dwindles each cycle, as polarization increases. I'm sick of the blue firewall, and I'm sick of red America. 2012 was a dull map, and 2016 looks like it's going to be worse. Can anyone expand the map? You people can't possibly be enjoying this from a political junkie standpoint.
It has to do with the
campaigning.
As George W. Bush proved—twice—winning the Electoral College with 271 and 286 electoral votes is just as legit as winning with 321 and 336 or 371 and 386 or 421 and 436 or 471 and 486 electoral votes.
The two major political parties are choosing to
not allocate their campaign funds to compete in states apparently because their strategies are to pursue the states which tend to carry closely to the national outcomes (from recent elections). Other states considered are ones which
emerge as "competitive." (
The next bellwether: North Carolina.)
Today's Democratic Party is making a mistake not pursuing a 40-state landslide. Between the two major parties, and given this latest realigning presidential period (which began in 2008), the
Democrats are the ones who should be able to pull it off. (
Put it this way: Historically, it is California and not Texas which has been carried in more presidential elections. That is, if you wanted to compare just those two states to each other.)
Since after the 1980s, it appears both major parties have
not been particularly disturbed by the fact that roughly 20 states from each of the five cycles were not carried. (The average amount of states carried in Elections 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, and 2012 were
29. That is 58 percent of available states.) That's quite the disappointment given the past 100 years' worth of presidential elections—since New Mexico and Arizona joined the union and first participated in 1912—in which there were eleven presidential elections with a winner having carried on average four of every five states: 1912 (Woodrow Wilson); 1928 (Herbert Hoover); 1932 and 1936 (Franklin Roosevelt); 1952 and 1956 Dwight Eisenhower); 1964 (Lyndon Johnson); 1972 (Richard Nixon); 1980 and 1984 (Ronald Reagan); and 1988 (George Bush).
The two major parties continue to
perpetuate this red-and-blue electoral paradigm.