When will South Carolina go Democratic in a presidential election?

[DS0816]

South Carolina is approximately 15 percentage points redder than how the nation votes in presidential elections.

A Democrat is going to have nab about 57 percent, while the losing Republican is at 41 or 42 percent, with such strong national level that makes South Carolina able to turn blue. If that were to happen, Texas would carry. Georgia would definitely carry. And then there are host of other states, not only those in the Old Confederacy, which would also turn blue.

One thing to note: In at least the last 100 years, South Carolina has voted the same as Alabama and Mississippi, a neighboring duo which historically votes opposite Vermont. There are two years on record in which S.C. voted differently in that time frame from Ala. and Miss.: 1960 and 1968. I think S.C. can color differently from the other two … but if a Democrat was winning on that level, it suggests that playing well enough in S.C. may also make it possible for Ala. and/or Miss. (Since those two first voted in 1820, there is only one year on record in which they did not vote the same as each other: 1840.)