Obama always seemed to underperfrom in PA polls.
Yeah, some polls were showing a tight race even by the end of the 08 campaign. I mean, McCain continued to bother campaigning there. Plus, this is a state that hasn't gone Republican in a presidential election in about 25 years. Even Dukakis nearly won PA.
I do believe NH is close, however.
Since 1988, when George Bush underperformed in the Keystone State by 2.31% (compared nationally to 7.73%). Also, I don't buy into New Hampshire being close. It carried for Obama at 9.61%. If that state is close, on Election Day 2012, it's because the Republcans picked up the White House four years after the Democrats did likewise.