MI-EPIC/MRA: Romney 46% Obama 41%

[DS0816]

Barack Obama won Michigan in 2008 by a margin of 16.45%. That was 9.19% more Democratic than on average to the rest of the country.

If any Republican were to win Michigan in 2012, the White House would flip.

After the Republicans first competed in 1856, Michigan voted for the party right thought to 1928 Herbert Hoover. Every Republican elected from 1860 Abraham Lincoln to 1956 Dwight Eisenhower had Mich. in his column (same with Pennsylvania and Minnesota, to name two others).

I look at this and have a good laugh; Democrats will be carrying Michigan for decades!

[DS0816]

Barack Obama won Michigan in 2008 by a margin of 16.45%. That was 9.19% more Democratic than on average to the rest of the country.

I think his numbers in Michigan were inflated (as in Wisconsin, Illinois, and California for different reasons) because of the economic collapse and McCain's high-profile and fumbled pull out of the state late in the season... but that it's still going to be a difficult state for Republicans to win. Unemployment is high, but goodness, they know it didn't start in 2008 and Obama saved GM and made the best go of saving Chrysler anyone can do.

Look at this site's past presidential election maps and notice the margins in, say, Michigan during the 1860-1956 period when Mich. supported all prevailing Republicans. Plenty of inflated margins. Especially with 1904 Teddy Roosevelt.