Im not really sure even Palin would win Alaska.
Id see it happen more like this:
If Sarah Palin couldn't hold her home state of Alaska, which John McCain carried by 21.54% in Election 2008, you'd need to flip a few more states around and within that margin: Tennessee (R+15.06%), Mississippi (R+13.17%), Alabama (R+21.58%), Georgia (R+5.20%; in which Obama won the female vote), South Carolina (R+8.48%), Texas (R+11.76%), Kansas (R+14.92%), Nebraska (R+14.93%; all five electoral votes). If it's that bad you might as well consider even Idaho (R+25.30%). And no way in hell would Montana hold for the GOP; McCain won it only by 2.38% while Obama won the state's female vote.
