Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Well duh his support went up. He ran as close as you can to an open racist in 2016 without actually saying he is racist and he got 46% of the vote. That was the central theme of his candidacy.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

In other words...Trump could do a speech donning a Klan hood saying the N word and he's still at a 50/50 chance at winning re-election.

This is 100% true, and the sooner people stop pretending otherwise the better. There is zero use trying to reason with a Republican Party where some 90% of them are apologists for racist behavior.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

A Democratic win in Texas of that magnitude would be Beto+ the northern Dallas suburban counties + maybe Brazos. Before Mr. Politician @‘s me, I’m not predicting Brazos will flip so calm your panties

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

https://twitter.com/mattmfm/status/1166691180500983809?s=20

This is probably the most significant change in the 2020 election dynamic if this holds. Trump's rationale for reelection boils solely down to the economy. If you take that away, he really has nothing else. Except muh judges or something

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

PPP battleground state poll, Sep. 4-5, 733 voters in AZ, FL, MI, PA, TX, WI only.

Approve 46
Disapprove 52

R: 83/13
D: 14/85
I: 43/54

Generic D 51
Trump 45

R: 11/85
D: 85/11
I: 40/53

Interesting that R and D are mirror images and cancel each other out, so the Independents swing the result against Trump.

Annoyed that they didn’t break out the numbers by state, but I would take a guess he’s probably not polling approval above disapproval in any of the states listed

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Fox News, Sep. 15-17, 1008 RV (prior poll Aug. 11-13)

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-5)

Approval/disapproval on issues:

Economy 50/45
National security 45/48
Immigration 42/54
Trade 38/53
Foreig policy 36/54
Guns 35/56
Health care 34/56
Afghanistan 31/49

Interesting that he’s underperforming his approval rating against the Democrats in the FOX poll

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Fox News, Sep. 15-17, 1008 RV (prior poll Aug. 11-13)

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-5)

Approval/disapproval on issues:

Economy 50/45
National security 45/48
Immigration 42/54
Trade 38/53
Foreig policy 36/54
Guns 35/56
Health care 34/56
Afghanistan 31/49

Interesting that he’s underperforming his approval rating against the Democrats in the FOX poll

That's been a common trend in a number of polls lately.

Makes me wonder if a good chunk of his soft supporters are just sick of the constant crises ndscandals and want less drama

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Rassy polls does show Trump at 51-47% approvals, but 43% say country is headed in right direction

I can see it now. Impeachment sends Trump's approval rating soaring over 50% for the first time in his career. Just like the end of Taxi Driver.

People opposed Clinton’s impeachment because it was over a freaking blow job lol. This is much different

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

I’d imagine the undecideds are pretty disapproving of Trump too

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Virginia: University of Mary Washington, Sep. 3-15, 1009 adults

Approve 39
Disapprove 54

Biden 55, Trump 37
Warren 53, Trump 38
Sanders 53, Trump 38
Harris 50, Trump 38

Freedom state! NoVa moderate suburbanites are fed up with Trump and want Uncle Joe.

Can we stop calling him that? It makes me and I’m sure most everyone else cringe every time I see it.

And NOVA suburbanites are anything but moderate at this point lmao

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

NPR/Marist, Sep. 25, 864 adults (2-week change)

Approve 44 (+3)
Disapprove 53 (-1)

Strongly approve 31 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-6)

In some polls there’s was no change but in others, it’s as if Trump started getting better at his job. What gives?

I for one would be ecstatic if Trump has a 44% approval rating on Election Day 2020

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Washington Post-Schar Virginia Poll:

39% Approve (26% Strongly)
58% Disapprove (51% Strongly)

Source

People here are still insistent that Trump won’t lose Virginia by double digits

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Washington Post-Schar Virginia Poll:

39% Approve (26% Strongly)
58% Disapprove (51% Strongly)

Source

People here are still insistent that Trump won’t lose Virginia by double digits

Using polls an year away is dumb. Similar polls show him down by 10 in Ohio.  Trump will probably lose VA by 8 points if I had to guess.

They are categorically ruling out the possibility of it, though. And right now, all the evidence we have points to him losing it by double digits

I agree that those Ohio polls won’t age well

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Ohio: Emerson, Sep. 29-Oct. 2, 837 RV

Trump approval: 43/51

Impeachment support: 47/43

Biden 53, Trump 47
Sanders 53, Trump 47
Warren 52, Trump 48

Biden 54, Pence 46
Warren 51, Pence 49
Sanders 51, Pence 49

People here are still insistent that Ohio is Safe R

It is. Feel free to save this post and make fun of me in 13 months if I’m wrong.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Ohio: Emerson, Sep. 29-Oct. 2, 837 RV

Trump approval: 43/51

Impeachment support: 47/43

Biden 53, Trump 47
Sanders 53, Trump 47
Warren 52, Trump 48

Biden 54, Pence 46
Warren 51, Pence 49
Sanders 51, Pence 49

People here are still insistent that Ohio is Safe R

The DaWN Guide to Poll Interpretation

A questionable poll shows Ohio close/Democrats in front: Impossible, 2016 trends, racist WWC, Safe R

A questionable poll shows Texas close/Democrats in front: Absolute gospel, suburbs are rapidly trending D, election results from less than a year ago don't matter

(For the record, the Texas ones were almost certainly bullsh!t as well)

All ten of them? That’d be one hell of a systematic polling error

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

We've probably reached the point where it's pretty hard to virtually anyone who approves of Trump voting against him in 2020 and anyone who disapproves of him not voting for the Democrat. The Libertarian and Green almost definitely won't get 6% of the vote agian