We all know what happened to Bush and the republican party after 2002....
They lost The house, The senate and eventually the white house. It also leads to the rise of Nancy Pelosi since people wanted her a check on bush
In anything bringing up 2002 just proves my point. Back in the 1930s the great depression led to FDR and the Dems having power for decades, but after 9/11 Bush and his party only got 1 good midterm before the American people started kicking them all out of power
A super popular president is really the primary driver for a good midterm for their party. You're right, GWB only got one good midterm, but that is generally more than most termed-out presidents get. GWB got that good midterm because he was super popular in 2002, and then got a shellacking in 2006 because he was unpopular. There are various reasons for why he was, and various structural biases can amplify how good/bad the party does, but the general theme is the same: midterms are referendums on the president. People generally don't feel a need to put a check on a popular president and their party.
The depression comparison doesn't really work for 9/11. They both changed society and generation(s) of people, but not in the same ways. In one, a Republican presided over economic catastrophe and mostly bungled the response to it, and then sat in the White House for years, absorbing the blame as the GDP crashed and unemployment skyrocketed. In the other, we were attacked by foreign enemies and the people rallied around the president as he initiate a war against those enemies and later, another war since that was all the rage then.
Tell that to this guy.....President Dwight D. Eisenhower was insanely popular and loved by the American people, yet his party still suffered massive losses under him
During his first midterm in 1954 the Republicans lost the Congressional majorities they had won in the previous election and during his second midterm in 1958
They lost 48 seats to the Democratic Party in the House of Representatives, and also lost thirteen seats in the U.S. Senate to the DemocratsEven though the American people really did
Like Ike they still turned around and kicked the Republican party out of power. In the end it just goes to show that if someone as loved as President Dwight D. Eisenhower could not stop has party from taking huge losses during midterms than no other president can