Do you believe that Trump would be on track to re-election without COVID-19? (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Do you believe that Trump would be on track to re-election without COVID-19? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Do you believe that Trump would be on track to re-election without COVID-19?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Undecided/Unsure
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 60

Author Topic: Do you believe that Trump would be on track to re-election without COVID-19?  (Read 806 times)
roxas11
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,799
United States


« on: July 20, 2020, 12:35:26 PM »

based on the RCP average of polls

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

No I do not think Trump was ever on track to win re-election

Biden had bigger leads over trump long before Covid showed up
In fact Biden Biggest lead over trump was in 2019 when the rcp average had him ahead by 11 points in September 2019.  His lead only started to go down during the heated primary be I believe Biden numbers would have recovered the second the dem primary ended even without Covid


If anything I think Covid may actually help trump re-election chances since is could effect Dem turnout in November




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