TIME Poll Ohio: Obama +5

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Probably about right.  Ohio is one of those states that has seen positive, tangible effects of Obama's policies.  It will be more Democratic than the rest of the country this year.  

Oh... Rassy = tied
Reality = O+4/5.  

When Scott tells you something... you add 5 for Obama.  This is becoming the theme of 2012 Election polling.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Fantastic!

the two candidates are locked in a dead heat among Ohioans who have not yet voted but who say they intend to, with 45% of respondents supporting the President and 45% preferring his Republican challenger.

But Obama has clearly received a boost from Ohio’s early voting period, which began on Oct. 2 and runs through November 5. Among respondents who say they have already voted, Obama holds a two-to-one lead over Romney, 60% to 30%.

I've been saying this for weeks.  OBAMA'S GROUND GAME WRECKS ROMNEY'S PERIOD.  He is getting the same people to the polls that carried him in 2008. 

As for the 45-45 split, an argument can certainly be made that Romney will take a majority of those undecideds... but that would contradict last night's Survey USA poll that shows that Obama's advantage among those early voters is simply not changing... i.e., there is nothing to show in the early voting that Romney is taking these undecideds as the race has, nationally anyway, swung towards him. 

Encouraging for the Obama campaign to say the least. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

So how good is the TIME poll?

Nailed it in 2008. 

51-47 in the last poll, released on 10/28

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Oh.. and it's D+9, guys. 

See, I did your work for you.  Let the bitch-fest begin. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Jesus Christ, why does this damn state like Obama so much?  

All you Democrats will really be laughing in 2014 when we fall down to a puny third in the House and fall below 40 in the Senate so President Christie can come in and privitize Social Security and Medicare.

Talk about cutting off your noses to spite your face.  

Whoever wins this election will be welcomed with a booming economy in the next few months.

Yeah, this is a big part of why Phips is ridiculous. If Romney wins he'll be take credit for the recovery and win re-election in a landslide and the Democrats will be shut out of government for a decade. Pretending there's some distinction between the Democratic agenda and Obama's re-election makes no sense at this point.

This is one of the reasons why a Romney win would be so sickening.  Two months in and the economy is picking up and here's President Romney claiming that his election victory removed all that uncertainty Obama caused.  

Ugh... would be enough to make me throw up.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Dick Morris wrote yesterday: "This successful debate for Romney will continue his surge in the polls."
LOL

Ah yes... Dick "Arkansas is solid Obama" Morris. 

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Hey guys... I'm not even going to look at Cliffy's post. 

I'm going with.... D+10 is ridiculous and if only we understood the race like he does,

Bonus: it's not 2008. 



Am I close?

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Damn!  Way off.  Points for unpredictability, Cliffy.  Good show.