Kerry +4 in Wisconsin AND Ohio? I think not.
Hey, you guys were calling Jersey a tossup when it was +6 for Kerry! 4 points isn't huge, and considering the jobs issue out in the midwest (what they consider most important BTW), it's very possible. Bush is not frickin FDR, he's not even Clinton. The base may love the guy, but there's not gonna be some landslide because he approval rating was at 80% 3 years ago. I think when you are looking at a poll with a canidate down by just 4 and calling it absurd in a close race, you are greatly overestimating this guy's support.
Only thing I find strange is that I don't think Kerry is doing better in Wisconsin than he is in Minnesota. I could be wrong, who knows.