muon2
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« on: June 02, 2016, 07:50:24 AM » |
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Let's look at this graph more carefully.
In 2012 it shows about 46% Dem, 24% Pub and 30% independent. The 2012 result was 67% Dem among Asians/Other, so that says about 70% of the self-described independent Asian vote went Dem.
For 2016 the graph shows about 62% Dem, still 24% Pub, but only 14% independent. The self-described independents from 2012 are now committing to the Dems in a way that reflects their actual voting behavior. A 67% Dem vote in Nov 2016 just as in 2012 would be consistent with the remaining pool of independents. If the remaining independents still broke 70% for the Dems the 2016 vote would rise to 72% Dem. Reality is probably somewhere in between those two points, perhaps like 70% Asians for the Dems.
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