NH Strange Rules - If Bernie gets less than 57% Votes, equal delegates split

[muon2]

The math is actually pretty simple. In each district there is a whole number of delegates awarded to each candidate. The vote share is rounded to the nearest number of whole delegates. With 8 delegates the midpoint between 4/8 and 5/8 delegates is 9/16. That translates to 56.25% in a two person race, so any amount above that rounds up to 5/8. The 2008 Obama campaign was masterful in targeting CDs around the country where they were close to the point where one rounds up instead of down and consistently picked up extra delegates in districts.

[muon2]

The math is actually pretty simple. In each district there is a whole number of delegates awarded to each candidate. The vote share is rounded to the nearest number of whole delegates. With 8 delegates the midpoint between 4/8 and 5/8 delegates is 9/16. That translates to 56.25% in a two person race, so any amount above that rounds up to 5/8. The 2008 Obama campaign was masterful in targeting CDs around the country where they were close to the point where one rounds up instead of down and consistently picked up extra delegates in districts.

However, in a big state, there's no way of telling whether an extra vote might make the difference with the statewide delegates. California has a whopping 158 statewide.

True, it's harder to move percentages in a large state. That's why Obama's team polled districts and targeted resources at delegates awarded by CD.

[muon2]

Delegates don't matter. Early contests are solely about momentum.

Besides, if you start getting into the minutiae of delegate allocation, Hillary has already won. Sanders' only hope is to defeat her comfortably or in a landslide and make it a moot point.

This. I don't get why people are obsessing over delegates.

Because in 2008 Obama's team knew that in a drawn out campaign people would start looking at the delegate counts as the horse race, not the number of states won. So they fashioned a campaign to get a lead in the delegate count and hold it. In the end the delegates nominate the candidate for president.