Most of all redistricting will play a part in this race, the Republicans did themselves no good in opposing Sotomayor. Redistricting will show and increase in the Latino population in the northwest suburbs like Schumburg, Arlington Heights and Dupage County. The redistricting map will not be finished by then, but the votes of those immigrants will play a role in electing Giannoulias our next Senator from Illinois.
Isn't redistricting when they change the congressional districts? Even so, how would this effect a senate race which is statewide. Everyone in Illinois votes for their senator regardless of their congressional district and whether or not that changed in 2002, or will change in 2012.
Minorities have held the most powerful offices in the state of illinois. Regardless of turnout, they have helped Dems maintain the majority in all elected offices. Dan Seals will be on the ballot and it will help the base turnout for him. But, that's why have elections and we will have to wait and see.
The effect of Seals will not be what you think. My reply in the other thread applies here as well.
Seals is running in the 10th CD, which only has significant minority populations in Waukegan and North Chicago. None of the Cook County minority areas will be influenced by Seals. This also assumes that Seals survives his primary challenge from State Rep Hamos so that there can be an effect on the general election.
