2017 French Presidential Election (user search)
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Author Topic: 2017 French Presidential Election  (Read 106965 times)
MaxQue
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Posts: 12,655
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« on: April 10, 2017, 05:51:10 PM »

Remember that Yannick Jadot dropped out in favour of Hamon, fat load of good that did. No-one is going to drop at this point, period.

Well, EELV got a deal for Législatives and a refund by the PS of some of their campaign expenses.
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MaxQue
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Posts: 12,655
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« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2017, 11:18:00 AM »

Nate Silver says he's worried about pollster herding. Look at how consistent these numbers are:



https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/853998602754158592

However, that's normal, given the usual French polling methods (they use quota sampling).
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MaxQue
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Posts: 12,655
Canada


« Reply #2 on: April 17, 2017, 02:54:07 PM »

Would Le Pen voters even turn out in the runoff if it comes down to Melanchon and Macron?

A significant number would vote for Mélenchon (he is anti-establishment as Le Pen).
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