Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015

[MaxQue]

David Swann, Liberal leader is currently 4th in his riding, with 5 boxes counted.

[MaxQue]

PC is going backwards now.

NDP 29, PC 16, WR 12.

[MaxQue]

Edmonton is ridiculous. We see Ministers down 60-20 against NDP.

[MaxQue]

249 of 7,141 polls reporting

Its not time to start getting emotional yet.

Well, in Canada, yes. Usually,  100 to 300 is usually enough given votes are from all areas.

[MaxQue]

PC is crashing hard. They are down to 12 seats, now. Like I said, it was only special votes.

[MaxQue]

Mason, the former NDP leader has 83% right now.

Edmonton looks like a clean sweep, with most ridings being over 60% for NDP.

[MaxQue]

Also, LOL at people panicking here 35 minutes ago.

[MaxQue]

The Services to the Persons minister lost 70-15 against NDP. In Edmonton, obviously.

[MaxQue]

PC down to 9, now.

[MaxQue]

Chavez fan won big in Edmonton-Ellerslie 62-17.

[MaxQue]

Good lead for NDP (300) in Dunvegan-Central Peace-Notley. Colin Piquette (son of a NDP MLA who did a scandal asking a question in French in the Assembly, years ago) leads by 600 votes, too.

[MaxQue]

Wildrose official says it's a good result for them. They've seemed unusually defeatist this whole campaign. 2012 and 2014 have left their mark.

They totally faded after the debate. They were invisible.

[MaxQue]

Really though, we are in NO position to predict how the 2019 Alberta election is going. If history is any indication, the NDP will be in power for at least 4 full terms. But we just saw "history" defied today.

The NDP requires some degree of disunity among the right to govern in Alberta. How long it can depend on that determines how long it can (not necessarily will, but can) remain in office. Since Wildrose took second, they're more likely to become the right-wing successor (especially since in Alberta defeated government parties usually just fade away in a couple elections), though it's not guaranteed: see New Brunswick's Confederation of Regions, or wherever it was that they were briefly OO in the early '90s, for a counterexample.

Not sure. There is some centrists in PC which voted PC this time, but will prefer NDP to WR.
Also, some electors are not ideological at all and will just vote for government (or against government).

[MaxQue]

Meanwhile, in bizarro world, PCs regain the lead in Cardston-Taber-Warner, which went Wildrose by double-digits in 2012. Huh?

That riding went for them in 2008, too (only one)

I suppose it was quite sensible to anti-NDP arguments.

[MaxQue]

The PC electoral party seems even more depressing than a funeral. People talk to each other in a funeral, at least.

Party staffers are trying to convince partisans to go sit in the first rank, so Prentice can shake hands once he enters the stage.

[MaxQue]

Lesser Slave Lake just switched from being Wildrose by 3 votes to being NDP by 7 votes. I wonder why Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock is so much more strongly Wildrose than all its neighbors.

Prentice wins reelection in his own riding.

Don't worry. It will only prolong his suffering.

He'll probably resign within the year.

Month, if not tonight.

[MaxQue]

62% of vote for NDP in Edmonton.

[MaxQue]

NDP is being close in Peace River, PC only leads by 13 votes, right now.

[MaxQue]

With 4 boxes left in Peace River, PC leads by 2 votes.

[MaxQue]

Peace River seems to be one vote apart. They may have to call back a declaration.

Went from one vote PC lead to one vote NDP lead. 3 boxes left.

CBC site is currently broken. Harass them into repairing it.

[MaxQue]

Peace River: 129 vote lead for NDP, 2 boxes left.

[MaxQue]

PCs back up in Peace River.

Really? I don't see that.

[MaxQue]

PCs back up in Peace River.

Really? I don't see that.

NVM. Did another riding switch back to them?

EDIT- It's Calgary-Glenmore (Njall's riding?)

Not a real lead. It's tied! 3 boxes left.

Turnout: 57%

[MaxQue]

PCs back up in Peace River.

Really? I don't see that.

NVM. Did another riding switch back to them?

EDIT- It's Calgary-Glenmore (Njall's riding?)

Not a real lead. It's tied! 3 boxes left.

2 boxes left, NDP leads by 32 votes.

[MaxQue]

PCs back up in Peace River.

Really? I don't see that.

NVM. Did another riding switch back to them?

EDIT- It's Calgary-Glenmore (Njall's riding?)

Not a real lead. It's tied! 3 boxes left.

2 boxes left, NDP leads by 32 votes.

1 box left, NDP leads by 42.