Well the Reform Party is dead
Yeah, but I'm just coopting the name and attaching it to the more or less the original Perot platform of "radical centrism with balanced budgets and no NAFTA". I find the Alliance Party name to be really generic.
Alt-Reichers are mainly content running in militia groups and voting straight R for now.
Yeah, Trump has given Nationalists a home there. Guess we'll have to see it shakes out in the next 4-8 years. That said, even outside of this hypothetical, it makes me wonder if disaffected Trumpists (neo-paleocons?),
national conservatives (assuming if the GOP goes back towards its business establishment/Tea Party small-gov't roots), and alt-lite/alt-rightists will pull a Howard Philips and found something like the Constitution Party or the American Independent Party but for modern American (Jacksonian?) Trumpist nationalism, or even take over those increasingly shell-like "parties" for the ballot access. (And then, like the CP, create a bunch of weird split-offs that litter the parties page on Politics1).
But yeah like you said, they seem mostly interested in forming paramilitaries, dutifully voting for Republicans (particularly MAGA/Qanon extremist candidates), or running YouTube personality grifts than creating a third party. Maybe that goes to show running third parties or independent candidacies have fallen in terms of being a way to express political dissatisfaction compared to the early '90s or even in 2000.
Nowadays in reality, the American Solidarity Party is sort of like the Populists, except based mostly around Catholics instead of moderate Evangelicals.
religious boomers are going to die out sometime in the coming years.
Post-Bush, the evangelicals seem quite spent as a political force and Trump has forced a lot of soul-searching, but their bloc is still around for a while. I think they'll take longer to decline than the paleocons.
I don’t think an alternative centrist party is going to make it in this environment, or ever tbh.
Yeah true. fwiw, when I originally created this back in 2008 I wasn't really thinking that it'd be a realistic split of the American electorate, more like trying to force eight parties based on the political compass + the preexisting third parties. That said, I can see a sort of centrist technocratic (both wonkish and reddit science boosterism) party gaining ground centered around personalities like Andrew Yang, Elon Musk, and other similar figures.
People's Party: Based on agrarianism and labor unions. Goal would be to revitalize the Midwest, Rust Belt and the Plains. Sort of a big tent party.
I'd love for such a new Farmer-Labor Party to exist, but seems like first you need revitalization of that space. Also, they'd have a lot in common with Progressives; it's not the '30s anymore where there would've been more of an urban-rural leftist split.