Limiting Abortion...

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

The availability of abortion changes behavior and social relations in a way that is hard to measure. If you look at fertility rates in the US, they were dropping quite a lot during the 1960s and 70s. It's easy to see that the pill likely had a lot to do with that, plus more women working outside the home. But then, after Roe v Wade the fertility rate didn't start decreasing even more, it actually coincided roughly with plateau at about 2 per woman where it's been (more or less) ever since.

A population increase, at least in the short term, is a likely possibility from limiting abortion but you can't count on it.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

What could have possibly compelled you to make this thread?

I don't believe he is actually suggesting that abortion policy should be driven by political demography. This is a forum on political demography so wondering what the effects of policy on it is an okay thing to wonder about (though as I indicated, any effects in this case are questionable). 

Would it be wrong to ask whether policy toward immigration reform would be a demographic plus or minus for a certain party?

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

On the alternative side of things, one can quite easily question the sincerity in the Republican Party's efforts to actually ban abortion. The Republican Party had ample opportunity to overturn Roe in the 80s and early 90s if they hadn't screwed their Supreme Court nominations up. It casts a rather different perspective on say, the presidential candidacy of Mitt Romney: pay lip service to the Pro-Life movement but when the chips are down and they actually have choice between protecting life and maintaining power, what will the choice be?

But will Republican Presidents actually be allowed to make Supreme Court nominations anymore that will not align with the Religious Right (unless they are replacing a Liberal justice or Kennedy in a Senate that can come up with a coalition who will block that nomination)?

I can even see Kennedy seeing the writing on the wall and concurring or joining a decision that throws out Roe, Casey and Griswold if a personhood  law soon gets passed at the state level and a Republican Government gets elected in 2016. However, I will contend that if abortion is still legal after the next president leaves office, it probably will never be a crime.

There is absolutely no way Kennedy is going to touch Griswold - he's based a lot of his decisions on it.  He may be willing to modify Casey similar to the way that Casey modified Roe.