Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread (user search)
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  Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread  (Read 292772 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« on: November 08, 2022, 06:01:51 PM »

I don't understand the "but they could be pro-lifers" people considering the same thread shows that 64% of PA voters are pro-choice:

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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2022, 06:09:47 PM »

Is it too late to change my PA prediction? Lol
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2022, 06:21:39 PM »

The KY "No Right to An Abortion" amendment seems to be underperforming by quite a bit.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2022, 06:23:57 PM »



That ain't good news for Dems there.

I still think it's going to a run-off.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2022, 06:25:22 PM »

WOW!





If there was one thing predictable about this election, it was that it would come down to inflation vs. abortion. Which issue drives out voters more? That's the ballgame.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2022, 06:32:10 PM »

Half hour until the FL & GA slaughter begins.

Will you actually leave the forum for a year if it doesn't?
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2022, 06:33:07 PM »

The pro-life abortion amendment is trailing Rand Paul by 5-10% in the rural eastern counties so far.

If those numbers hold, I think it will pass, but I'm definitely going to be tracking that variance as we get into more suburban areas.

Yes, the big question is whether it trails Paul by 10 or by 20+ in the big suburban Republican counties.

I think it will be closer to the latter.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2022, 06:35:12 PM »

Is the KY amendment NO for pro-choice or YES for pro-choice

No for pro-choice.

Basically the same as the Kansas amendment.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2022, 06:36:24 PM »

Biden approval in PA 46-54.
Trump 40-58.

That's shockingly high for Biden actually. I'm feeling much better about Fetterman now.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2022, 06:39:28 PM »

Hate to sound superficial, but Jen Psaki looks much worse on MSNBC than she did as Press Secretary.

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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2022, 06:42:15 PM »

Holy cow



Nobody's ever happy about the way things are going lol. I would have said I'm not too, but I didn't vote GOP.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2022, 06:43:54 PM »

Majority of Arizona voters think immigrants are good for the country, and abortion is nearly tied with inflation for the top issue.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2022, 06:46:19 PM »



People need to stop listening to Allan Lichtman.

To be fair, he's either an extremely lucky guy with coin flips or there's a method to his madness, to be right so often. (Even if 2000 and 2016 were iffy situations.)
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2022, 06:47:04 PM »

This election is going to have results dissapointing both sides.

Mixed signals is going to be prevalent.

A truly neutral/mixed year would result in GOP winning the House and a 50/50 Senate...
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2022, 06:48:27 PM »

If Fetterman wins, I think it's safe to say debates (at least non-presidential debates) are useless.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2022, 06:51:49 PM »

FL exit poll not surprising, 39-60 approval for Biden lol.

"Florida turned into a hardcore red state so fast, I didn't even notice!" - Marge Simpson, paraphrased
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2022, 06:52:56 PM »

First House race called on CNN is KY-5 for Hal Rogers.

My grandpa, who lived in his district, actually knew Hal so I have a weird soft spot for him. I met him a couple times too, and he is surprisingly hard to dislike.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2022, 07:01:50 PM »

Interesting how they called Tim Scott at poll close but not Rand Paul. If he does mediocre like he did in 2016, then the anti-abortion amendment underperforming him the way it has been could be enough to defeat it.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2022, 07:07:43 PM »

STOP THE COUNT IN FLORIDA.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2022, 07:09:19 PM »



I'll do it first:


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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #20 on: November 08, 2022, 07:11:25 PM »

I admit that I am, I kind of surprised that the race with Rand Paul has not yet to be called

Same thing happened in 2020, early vote is counted first in KY.

But Rand Paul also had an underwhelming performance in 2016, and the anti-abortion amendment is getting walloped enough that it could lose.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #21 on: November 08, 2022, 07:14:13 PM »

CNN Exit Poll Georgia
Walker 49.7%
Warnock 48.3

Talking about close and close to avoid a runoff.

I got Walker 49.1-Warnock 48.9

This thing is totally going to a runoff.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #22 on: November 08, 2022, 07:19:39 PM »

Who would have thought Hillary Clinton was the high water mark for Democrats in Miami-Dade?
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #23 on: November 08, 2022, 07:20:18 PM »

It's time to build the wall.  Between Florida and Georgia/Alabama.

The fact that we'd actually rather keep Alabama should say it all.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #24 on: November 08, 2022, 07:21:20 PM »

florida is bonkers. the state is well on its way to becoming a solid Lean/Likely R state

Missouri with alligators and somehow even more meth.
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