Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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Posts: 19,288
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74
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« on: October 12, 2020, 01:26:02 PM » |
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Plot twist: Missouri again!
Seriously though, aside from Ohio, Florida has been the most consistent bellwether since 1964. In all that time, only once (1992) did it not vote for the winner. And of course in 2000, it decided the winner.
I see little reason to believe this will stop soon. I expect Biden to win Florida and the presidency, and for the state to remain closely contested for some time to come. It’s possible Democrats win without it, if not this year than soon, but it’s also possible it trends to the left. Most likely? It doesn’t trend too sharply in either direction and remains a critical swing state and bellwether.
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