Weird 538 maps (user search)
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  Weird 538 maps (search mode)
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Author Topic: Weird 538 maps  (Read 11895 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

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« on: September 29, 2020, 04:23:53 PM »


Is it 1976? 1876???
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 06:58:06 PM »

Not exactly a map, but I find it bizarre the model still gives Trump a 28% chance of winning a Clinton state. This means they think there is at least a 15% chance Trump wins a Clinton state and still loses the electoral college. That strikes me as very very unlikely.

The only way I can see it happening even if I squint is if he picks up Nevada but loses MI/PA/WI at least. NV by itself isn't worth much. However, I think it's highly unlikely he'll win that state, or any close Clinton 2016 state, including MN and NH.
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