Michigan polls strike again. 10 point Dem trend on it's way!
When do we get to revive the MI 2016 = IN 2008 meme? IN only trended 8 points away from the incumbent in 2012.
When Michigan actually trends 8-10 points Democratic. Almost certainly will not happen though, just more proof these polls have so many issues capturing Trump's base at this unpopular moment of Trump's presidency. Trump is polling 5 points worse nationally than he did at the end of the 2016 cycle, but all these state polls (especially red states) have him doing 10-20 points worse. You can't possibly believe them all.
WTF is “capturing Trump’s base” supposed to mean? It’s the minority here in this poll. There isn’t some massive secret silent base out there being neglected. He’s unpopular right now, yes, which means most anyone who’s not in the diehard base has soured on him.
And based on the latest polls, Trump might be losing by double digits nationally. If that’s the case, this is about in line with that.
At a certain point, the closer polls are the ones that become the outliers. After like, what, 18 national polls in a row and 6 MI polls in a row showing Biden ahead by double digits? I think it’s pretty safe to say he’s got a big lead.
