2020 Poll Hype Thread

[Alben Barkley]

I'm just glad we're finally going to have a new high quality PA poll. For some reason it hasn't been polled as much as the others lately.

[Alben Barkley]

My guess is that these will be pretty good for Biden, as most polling has been. Otherwise I don't know why they need to preemptively address the un-skewers. lol

Predictions:
- National: Biden +8
- Michigan: Biden +7
- Pennsylvania: Biden +7
- Wisconsin: Biden +5
- Florida: Biden +3
- North Carolina: Trump +1
- Arizona: Biden +2

I think you're probably right since Trump threatened to sue CNN for an unfavorable poll LOL. This seems like an attempt to pre-empt that by explaining the poll methodology ahead of time and even showing how if anything it might be favorable to Trump.

It will be in vain, of course. Trump will still call it fake and whine about the failing New York Times.

[Alben Barkley]

I'll take it, but I'd *really* like to have similarly devastating polling five days before the election. Hopefully this trend continues, because we need a complete and utter collapse of Trump's campaign to rack up the largest margins in the EC and Senate races as possible.

How many times does it have to be said that the election is already happening and that this is not a normal year, let alone 2016? There is no time to turn things around for Trump. Anything he did would be too little, too late. And there is literally no reason to believe that he’ll improve anyway, when everything just keeps getting worse and worse for him. The bottom has totally fallen out.

[Alben Barkley]

Things I could see qualifying as "meltdown"

Biden +17 or higher nationally
Biden +15 in Pennsylvania or Wisconsin
Biden +10 in Florida
Biden +6 in Texas or Ohio
Biden tied or leading in South Carolina

Biden crossing 60?

Biden up in Missouri?

Horrific senate polls in SC, MT, GA, AK, KS, IA, even AL???

Let’s not limit our imaginations!

[Alben Barkley]

Here is my guess. It's going to be a Fox News poll (so WH cannot just discard it) of SC, which will show Trump only +4, but Harrison +2 after the recent debate with Graham.

That would be anti-climactic to say the least. We’ve already had SC polls with Biden tied and Harrison leading by 2 in SC. I’d want to see them both ahead by mid-high single digits at least to live ip to the hype.