NC: Public Policy Polling: McCain ahead of Obama by 4%

[Sbane]

PPP = Democrat firm, slanted strongly to the left.

McCain's lead is much larger than they are willing to spin.

Maybe by 2 to 3%, but North Carolina has a very high African American population, this poll has it at 22% of the voting population, which is to high.

African-Americans make up 22% of NC's total population and 21% of the state's registered voters. So why exactly should 20-22% be too high ?

Because that would mean that close to 100% of the AA voters turn-out. I believe it would be closer to 20%.

No it doesnt. It just means they turn out in the same numbers as whites which is very believable.

[Sbane]

No it doesnt. It just means they turn out in the same numbers as whites which is very believable.

Which would make that, what, the first time that's ever happened?

I think blacks turn out in pretty good numbers, except in very poor inner city areas perhaps. I do believe rural blacks in the south vote in pretty high numbers. I don't have any data on it so not too sure....