NBC/SurveyMonkey national poll: Clinton 48% Trump 45% (user search)
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  NBC/SurveyMonkey national poll: Clinton 48% Trump 45% (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/SurveyMonkey national poll: Clinton 48% Trump 45%  (Read 1958 times)
Sbane
sbane
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« on: May 18, 2016, 01:16:49 AM »

BTW, I bet my house that TRUMP will not get 28% of Hispanics.
How nice is your house?

In the last 3 open elections, the Republicans got 30, 35 and 31% of the Hispanic vote. Romney (who was a terrible candidate -- worse than Trump IMHO), got 27% in the last cycle.

http://www.pewhispanic.org/2012/11/07/latino-voters-in-the-2012-election/

As opposed to TRUMP who is beloved among Hispanics.
Get out of here.

Well, at this point we've seen about 10 polls showing Clinton up by a 2012ish margin on the strength of her better-than-Obama numbers with white women, while Trump does a bit better than Romney among all minority groups.  It's time to start taking this possibility seriously, or else have a good explanation for why the most anti-Trump Hispanics simply aren't answering polls.

It would be interesting to compare how Obama did with minorities in polls conducted before the 2012 elections. IIRC, Obama didn't do as well in polls with Hispanics and Asians as he ended up doing according to the exit poll. I think polls may understate Hispanic and Asian support for Democrats, and is one of the reasons why Democrats outperform their polls in Nevada and other places in the west. The reason could be that polls are missing non-english speakers and they are more Democratic than english speaking Hispanics and Asians.
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