While I do think Obama loses if Romney wins the PV by 1 point or more, I think he has the EV advantage in a tied race.....
The same was thought about Gore. The opposite happened.
That race moved pretty fast towards the end, didn't it? I am sure if there is a lot of change from current polling, the changes would be different across states. Currently, Obama does seem to have an advantage based on polling in Ohio, Nevada, Iowa and Wisconsin. All those states could be slightly Democratic with a tied PV.
