How anyone can poll the Hispanic preference when their turnout this year is so up in the air, escapes me. I suspect Hispanic turnout will substantially erode from 2008.
Was it even up in 2008? I think this is just a media meme that all non-whites turned out in droves to elect Obama when it's not really true at all. Black turnout was certainly up, but Hispanic or Asian turnout wasn't any higher than what you would expect normally. Of course it will go up since a lot more kids are Hispanics or Asians than 75+ year olds who die and don't vote. And of course those who are naturalized within those 4 years between presidential elections.
