Colorado the next California? (user search)
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  Colorado the next California? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Colorado the next California?  (Read 9805 times)
Sbane
sbane
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« on: February 22, 2011, 05:04:53 PM »

I look at it this way: The Front Range reminds me of politically of southern California, or at least southern california 25-30 years ago.

Denver and Boulder is sort of like LA. It is the big city and the main event. Both cities are culturally liberal and have a lot of things to do. Denver is similar to LA too in that it has a large hispanic population.

Arapahoe county sort of reminds me of the area between LA and Orange County like Lakewood or Long Beach. Very swing territory.

Douglas County reminds me a lot of Orange County. Basically masterplanistan.

Colorado Springs is like San Diego in the sense that it has a huge military presence and a right wing reputation.

The Rocky Mountains is sort of like the pacific ocean and the plains to the east is kind of like the desert.

Greeley of course is Bakersfield. A country @$$ town in the hinterlands with a lot of mexicans and rednecks.

Mostly agree. Disagree with Colorado Springs being comparable to San Diego though.
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Sbane
sbane
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Posts: 15,317


« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2011, 06:07:21 PM »

2012 (my guess)


If the GOP cannot get Jefferson county, Broomfield county, or Arapahoe county, then it’s probably a lost cause.

With President Obama winning re-election in 2012, make the following county changes:

Flip some of your R’s to the D’s: Larimer (Fort Collins) and Jefferson (Golden); as well as Las Animas (Trinidad), Ouray (Ouray), Huerfanao (Walsenburg), San Juan (Silverton), Routt (Steamboat Springs), and LaPlata (Durango)

2008 R to 2012 D Pickups: Garfield (Glenwood Springs) and Chaffee (Salida)

^ 60% D: Routt; along with Gilpin (Central City), Gunnison (Gunnison), Clear Creek (Georgetown), Saguache (Saguache), Summit (Breckinridge), Lake (Leadville), Eagle (Eagle) and, of course, Pueblo (Pueblo)

At this point, I’d figure on Obama getting re-elected nationally with a margin around 10.50% over his Republican opponent. With Colo., he’d carry the rising bellwether beween 12.00% and 12.49%.


'With President Obama winning re-election in 2012, make the following county changes'

You have that wrong because you don't know if he's going to get reelected. Don't assume Colorado is going Democrat automatically in 2012.  What if Obama decides to get the police to arrest Tea Party Members for disagreeing with him for no apparent reason? (It's over exaggerating)

What boggles my mind is some of you 'assume' he's going to win no matter what happens to the US.

I think the question is whether it's likely Obama is going to win re-election. Though I will admit his chances of getting a 10%+ margin is much lower than his chances of re-election.
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