Kasich wins a huge win 52-45
Kasich/Haley 362 52%
Clinton/Kaine 176 45%
Oregon Vote:
Kasich 47%
Hillary 46.8%
Stein 5%
Stein Spoils the state for Hillary and gives it to Kasich. Without Trump on the ballot Stein probably does much better and Johnson much worse. Also the PVI of Oregon in this scenario is +7 Dem , in OTL it was +8 Dem and I'm not doing a uniform swing either since Kasich only wins this state due to a third party presence.
OR would basically be the IN of 2016 , a solid state flipping in a wave.
How would Stein win 5% of the popular vote.
More Bernie-or-Busters, since there's no fear of a Trump presidency
