Afghan government collapse.

[EastAnglianLefty]

Announcements from the Taliban have been kinda weird. If they actually ruled relatively moderate, at least compared to expectations, it would be hilarious.

https://twitter.com/dwnews/status/1427660276938182656

Relying on them to back those words up with actions would be a brave move. Still, it's not entirely irrelevant that they'd care enough to lie about it.

Although there's also the issue that the Taliban is less of a unitary force this time round, because nobody has the authority of Mullah Omar. So it's quite possible we could see the Taliban in some areas acting in a comparatively moderate manner and in other areas repeating the 1990s but with additional thuggery.