🇩🇪 German state & local elections

[EastAnglianLefty]

What was Kemmerich's actual plan? There was never any way he could have topped the poll without the AfD voting for him, so was this intentional or just an attempt to be too clever by half?

[EastAnglianLefty]

Imagine an scenario where all the minor parties drop out and only Linke, AfD and CDU make it into parliament. What happens next? (also assuming Linke does not get a majority of its own)

If it looks like a party is going to fall below the threshold, it's not uncommon for it to get lent quite a lot of votes by tactical voters. See for example the 2017 federal election, where the FDP ended up way above where most polling from a few weeks before had put it and not down to any efforts on their part.

I'd argue the most dangerous spot for a party to be polling in is 6-7%, whereas if it's getting 4-5% there's a very high chance it will get in.

[EastAnglianLefty]

The FDP should just go all the way on nuclear energy. Twist the SPD and the Greens' arm and don't just keep the current power plants open, but actually open some of the closed ones within one year. It'll cost a lot of money but so did the Energiewende, and I don't buy that it's technically impossible. We're in a continental crisis in which all existing taboos should be rethought. It's the right thing to do and it'll show right-wing voters they still have some balls.

Is nuclear power actually popular with the German right? My impression was that scepticism of it across the political spectrum was higher in Germany than elsewhere.