I would guess probably about 82-84%. I think that Dems don’t really grow in percentage from here, but will continue to increase raw vote margin. Evers added 16,000 more votes this year than 2018, and Michels decreased 7,000 compared to Walker. I think it’s realistic going forward to say that every four years Dems will net ~10,000 votes in midterms and ~20,000 in Prez races.
Part of this is because population is just booming all over Dane County. Every time I drive down Highway 151 or I39 I see more and more cranes building apartments. Even in the suburbs like Sun Prairie or Deforest houses are just sprouting up. It’s nuts.
If we are miraculously still winning WI in the 2030s, Dane growth will be probably one of the biggest reasons.
