1994 and 2010 were energetic years for Republicans, but in both cases they were rebukes of both the previous Republican president and the new Democratic administration.
That model doesn't need to hold in 2022, but it's worth considering that the elements that animate the party in the coming cycle might be more critical of Trump (or at least eager to move past him), especially if he continues to urge his supporters to leave the GOP.
Something tells me Trumpism won’t be abandoned or rebuked in the same way both Bushes were.