Sabato: Calling the House Tossups (user search)
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  Sabato: Calling the House Tossups (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato: Calling the House Tossups  (Read 1491 times)
SamInTheSouth
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« on: October 30, 2014, 11:49:09 AM »
Quote from: JerryArkansas on October 30, 2014, 10:43:27 AM
AR-2 is wrong, Hill should lose to Hays.  Everything else looks about right.

If this were 2012 I'd agree with you, but there is a Republican wave building across the country, in a similar manner as 2010.  Barring a scandal (like Michael Grimm in NY and even he is polling ahead in his race) I doubt any Republican leaning seat is going to flip this year.
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SamInTheSouth
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Posts: 389
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2014, 06:38:57 PM »
Quote from: JerryArkansas on October 30, 2014, 01:29:14 PM
Quote from: SamInTheSouth on October 30, 2014, 11:49:09 AM
Quote from: JerryArkansas on October 30, 2014, 10:43:27 AM
AR-2 is wrong, Hill should lose to Hays.  Everything else looks about right.

If this were 2012 I'd agree with you, but there is a Republican wave building across the country, in a similar manner as 2010.  Barring a scandal (like Michael Grimm in NY and even he is polling ahead in his race) I doubt any Republican leaning seat is going to flip this year.
Hays is poling 4 to 10 points ahead of Hill, the seat is going to flip as of now.

I guess we're going to find out pretty soon.
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SamInTheSouth
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Posts: 389
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2014, 07:31:43 PM »
Polling for House races seems to be erratic.  I think we're going to see more than few surprises Tuesday night.
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