More on a Hillary Comback [Michael Barone does the delegate math] (user search)
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  More on a Hillary Comback [Michael Barone does the delegate math] (search mode)
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Author Topic: More on a Hillary Comback [Michael Barone does the delegate math]  (Read 2687 times)
exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

« on: February 17, 2008, 03:38:43 PM »

Too bad its not going to happen. Hillary NEVER won 60% of the vote. She couldn't even when 60 in New York!

Hillary won 70% in Arkansas.

Aside from AK, MA and OK (not counting MI for obvious reasons), Hillary has never hit 55% but plenty of people think she will in PA so what's your point?

People can "think" and "wish" all they want but its doubtful she'll win over 60% in PA. She didnt even win 60% in Oklahoma, New York, Mass, and Tennessee...which all were he strongest states. Arkansas is the only state where she did ridiculously well.
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exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: February 17, 2008, 03:44:22 PM »

Too bad its not going to happen. Hillary NEVER won 60% of the vote. She couldn't even when 60 in New York!

Hillary won 70% in Arkansas.

Aside from AK, MA and OK (not counting MI for obvious reasons), Hillary has never hit 55% but plenty of people think she will in PA so what's your point?

People can "think" and "wish" all they want but its doubtful she'll win over 60% in PA. She didnt even win 60% in Oklahoma, New York, Mass, and Tennessee...which all were he strongest states. Arkansas is the only state where she did ridiculously well.

Hillary paid little attention to those states though. When PA is win or go home, she'll deliver and so will the entire PA Dem establishment. I don't think she'll win with over 60%; I said she'd hit 60%.

If Obama neglects to campaign there, yeah I can see her hitting 60%...but I doubt hes that stupid enough to NOT campaign there. Even though I dont see good numbers for Obama there...I still dont think Clinton will demolish him that much.

Plus Hillary did a fair bit of campaigning in Tennessee and New York should be obvious as its her homestate. She was expected to do well in the other states though, and her and her husband practically invaded Arkansas.
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exopolitician
MATCHU[D]
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: February 17, 2008, 03:52:07 PM »


Plus Hillary did a fair bit of campaigning in Tennessee and New York should be obvious as its her homestate. She was expected to do well in the other states though, and her and her husband practically invaded Arkansas.

No, it ought to be obvious that NY wasn't exactly a huge focus because it's her home state.

Obama will obviously contest PA. He'll do well in Philly, Montco, Bucks and Centre (Penn State college vote) counties. I can't find any other areas where he'd do that well.

I was trying to make that point I just worded it wrong, NY was her homestate so its obvious she didnt need that much attention to it. But the numbers show it was closer than the Clintons wanted it even in her homestate, where she didnt even break 60%.



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