What time will Biden cross the HELMUT NORPOTH LINE? (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  What time will Biden cross the HELMUT NORPOTH LINE? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: See above
#1
8-8:30 EST		  
#2
8:30-9 EST		  
#3
9-9:30 EST		  
#4
9:30-10 EST		  
#5
10-10:30 EST		  
#6
10:30-11 EST		  
#7
11-11:30 EST		  
#8
11:30-Midnight EST		  
#9
After Election Day		  
#10
He won't cross the HELMUT NORPOTH LINE		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 37

Author Topic: What time will Biden cross the HELMUT NORPOTH LINE?  (Read 1339 times)
The Mikado
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« on: October 27, 2020, 12:29:55 AM »


When will Biden cross 176 EVs, beating the prediction of esteemed political scientist and totally-not-a-crank Helmut Norpoth?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 12:53:51 AM »


The optimal HELMUT NORPOTH map, although there's one circulating around that does it by giving Trump New York.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2020, 02:07:08 PM »
Quote from: Gustaf on October 27, 2020, 03:25:43 AM
For those wondering, from what I can tell this doesn't predict the outcome in states so there is no "Norpoth electoral map". It predicts the number of electoral votes based on a statistical regression on fairly wacky variables.

Yes, but the one I made is the most "reasonable" Trump 362 map. You could give Trump CT instead of OR if you wanted to...it'd be equally dumb.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 06:43:57 PM »


HELMUT NORPOTH speaks!
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The Mikado
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2020, 01:41:08 AM »
If your prediction was busted this week (and whose wasn't?), at least you probably did better than HELMUT NORPOTH did.
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