IA-CNN/DMR: Sanders 20%, Warren 17%, Buttigieg 16%, Biden 15% (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  IA-CNN/DMR: Sanders 20%, Warren 17%, Buttigieg 16%, Biden 15% (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-CNN/DMR: Sanders 20%, Warren 17%, Buttigieg 16%, Biden 15%  (Read 7224 times)
The Mikado
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Posts: 21,866


« on: January 10, 2020, 06:36:00 PM »

I love this:

Mind Made Up:

September: 20 Yes         63 No        16 No First Choice
November: 30 Yes          62 No        7 No First Choice
January: 40 Yes             45 No        13 No First Choice

20 -> 30 -> 40
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The Mikado
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Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,866


« Reply #1 on: January 10, 2020, 07:26:13 PM »

LOL 538's model was updated but still has Biden winning IA because of national polls.

Biden could easily "win" on these numbers if you assume that the lion's share of Klobuchar supporters redistribute to him. Klobuchar is not going to be hitting viability at most caucus sites.
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