The Mikado
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« on: April 20, 2019, 04:07:53 PM » |
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I tend to think of all these theories as bunk because they never go more than two generations back and break down as a result. Would Grover Cleveland really work as a disruptor to an era of GOP dominance that went back a quarter century, for example?
The thinking where politics seems to have started with FDR leads to a lot of myopia. It's this weird sort of Greatest Generation onward solipsism that history began with World War II/the Depression and there's nothing worth looking at further back, but that means you're dealing with a sample size of 13 presidents and 22 elections (assuming we're starting from 1932), and you cannot possibly make any serious trend argument with such a small sample size.
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