Donald Trump Decision on 3rd Party Coming "Very Soon"

[The Mikado]

He's probably going to decide against it (unfortunately).

Not running third party makes more sense for him. He has a far more realistic shot at the White House seizing the GOP nomination and hoping that the global economy collapses so voters send him in in a fit of panic (his most viable route barring a Clinton meltdown).

[The Mikado]

I'm really not sure some of you realize the filing situation to get on the ballot as an indy. If Trump is knocked out of the primaries next March, running independent is basically out of the cards. He wouldn't be able to get on the ballot in many states.

Trump is giving up nothing by saying he won't run third party. If Trump wanted to run third party he'd have to start this year.

The only route for Trump to get ballot access everywhere third party would be the hilarious spectacle of him trying to hijack the Libertarian ballot line by swamping their convention.

[The Mikado]

I thought there was already speculation that the Constitution Party would be willing to give him the nomination if he doesn't get the GOP one.

Yeah, he may not line up with their views that well (except on immigration), but he would easily get enough votes to give their 2020 nominee federal funding, so it would be a great decision for them.

The Constitution Party has ballot access in a mere 12 states, and it'd be difficult as hell for Trump to add significantly more to that unless he starts trying in 2015. I don't think Donald Trump would be interested in a third party run for President where he's not even on the ballot in (let's be generous) 30 states.

EDIT: From the CP's own website: