Predict how SCOTUS rules on gay marriage

[The Mikado]

My guess: in Perry SCOTUS punts on Prop 8, either on standing or that it was improvidently granted.    Either way, Walker's decision stands and gay marriage is legal in California.

In Windsor, SCOTUS strikes down Article 3 of DOMA.

[The Mikado]

Ballot referenda shouldn't exist in the first place, tbh.  That said, the reason the Prop 8 defendant intervenors are running into standing problems is that they cannot show how they'd be affected at all by the result of the case, one way or the other.  In a referendum that had more tangible effects on all sides like, say, a tax increase, the standing problems would be nonexistent.