NEW HAMPSHIRE POLL EMERSON
2024 Gubernatorial Election
Kelly Ayotte (R) 46%
Joyce Craig (D) 37%
17% undecided
Kelly Ayotte (R) 47%
Cinde Warmington (D) 34%
19% undecided
I am personally skeptical about these this far out, but I figured I'd make sure to put these in here.
So clearly Ayotte is benefitting from strong name recognition at this point. I had expected more undecided this far out, and I'm still thinking she will probably see her support decline as the primary goes on and she has to answer questions about Trump, but it is possible she can find a path through even with that issue in the background.
So this poll points to out-of-office Ayotte receiving a huge slice of ticket-splitters in 2024, when in 2016, as an incumbent and with the same top of ticket, she ran ahead of Trump by just 0.6%?
There's something fishy here.