The thread on thoughts over time as to how and when the Ukraine war will end (user search)
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  The thread on thoughts over time as to how and when the Ukraine war will end (search mode)
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Author Topic: The thread on thoughts over time as to how and when the Ukraine war will end  (Read 1551 times)
Epaminondas
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Posts: 1,770


« on: March 06, 2023, 03:45:05 AM »

There's the big question of how many men Ukraine might still mobilise.
From a prewar population of 43m, they now have around 35, of which just under 6m are men between 20 and 45.

Assuming a third of those could be mobilised without destroying the little economy that's left, that's a maximum of 2m soldiers, 20% of which have been knocked out of action in the past year (100k KIA, 300k injured).

That sounds insufficient to retake all territory if the RSU entrenches itself for the next year, so I fear the conflict will not end before 2025 one way or another.



I see that certain tax haven more commonly known as Ireland has now broken into six figures at 100K+. Bless them. Even if I were a "Prot" in NI, I would want to hook up with them ASAP.

Funny (it's Prod though, due to Belfast t's).

However this is danger of using one stat to conclude: in fact NI services bankrolled by London are inordinately better developed than what you might infer; and conversely public services (healthcare, transport, pensions...) are starved of tax revenue and badly underdeveloped in the Republic.

As a result, low-skill workers have it better in the North than the South - so you probably wouldn't consider "hooking up" if you were reborn as a Prod in Antrim.
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