538 model & poll tracker thread (user search)
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May 23, 2024, 11:34:29 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  538 model & poll tracker thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 model & poll tracker thread  (Read 58196 times)
Epaminondas
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,760
« on: June 18, 2020, 12:24:39 AM »
So that makes Pennsylvania the current tipping-point state. How appropriate.
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Epaminondas
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,760
« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2020, 07:19:07 AM »
Good find, I expect you're right.


Quote from: Alben Barkley on July 19, 2020, 01:35:53 AM
He did this already in the primaries. After Super Tuesday it took him FOREVER to release the updated model showing Biden with a 99% chance of winning. And I have no doubt it was because he feared the wrath of the bros even though he was right.

What malarkey, he updated within 2 days.
Grow up, outside of high school hanging on to grudges won't get you far.
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Epaminondas
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,760
« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2020, 07:15:03 AM »
It's looking like their final performance will be

- 50/53 for the Presidency (NC, ME-2 and FL wrong)
- 30/33 for the Senate (NC, ME and IA wrong)
- ~400/435 for the House (not enough room to list all errors)

An improvement over 2016, but by 2024 it's hard to see them keep their sterling reputation gained in 2012.

Will Nate even care at that point?
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