Why does eastern Iowa and it's neighbours have so many Obama-Trump-Trump counties? (user search)
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  Why does eastern Iowa and it's neighbours have so many Obama-Trump-Trump counties? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why does eastern Iowa and it's neighbours have so many Obama-Trump-Trump counties?  (Read 530 times)
omar04
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Posts: 612


« on: July 30, 2022, 11:02:04 PM »

https://ballotpedia.org/Election_results,_2020:_Pivot_Counties_in_the_2020_presidential_election

https://ballotpedia.org/Pivot_Counties_in_Iowa

From what I can tell, these counties were moving already right before 2016 and have all of Trump's best demographics.

Ironically, one of the Iowa counties that went Trump both elections is named Clinton.
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omar04
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Posts: 612


« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2022, 07:17:47 PM »

You pretty much hit the nail on the head with the demographic point. Very White, rural/small-town, less college+ educated than average, quite Catholic. This region exemplifies the kind of working-class economically center-left, socially center-right voters that Trump activated.

Yeah, I checked out the counties in and bordering Illinois and the main thing that stuck out to me was that they were very white at >=90% and had a declining population (generally they were 20-30k).

Apparently this region is known as the Driftless Area https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Driftless_Area
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