Demographics and the Electorate

[elcorazon]

I just came to this thread and didn't go through the whole thing, but my biggest takeaway to the original post is that perhaps some of the assumptions are erroneous. It is not written in stone that each group will vote exactly as the OP has suggested. Perhaps, Trump has gained a bit in each category, especially the Hispanic vote, but possibly also the the highly educated or even the non college-grads, and even the black vote - a few points in each category would of course be a few points overall. I'm not sure this would completely eliminate the analysis and I agree it's a great post and thread, but I do think you have to realize all of the original numbers in this post are fluid as well.